Grace Natalie is not necessarily going to Senayan

Grace Natalie has the potential to become the DPR candidate with the most votes in the DKI Jakarta III electoral district.

The following article was translated using both Microsoft Azure Open AI and Google Translation AI. The original article can be found in Grace Natalie Belum Tentu Melenggang ke Senayan

KOMPAS/DEFRI WERDIONO

The Chairman of the Indonesian Solidarity Party, Kaesang Pangarep, and the Vice Chairman of the PSI Advisory Council, Grace Natalie, held a press conference on Friday (16/2/2024) at the PSI Central Office in Jakarta.

JAKARTA, KOMPAS — Deputy Chair of the Board of Trustees of the Indonesian Solidarity Party Grace Natalie has the potential to become a candidate for member of the People's Representative Council with the most votes in the DKI Jakarta III electoral district. However, Grace will not necessarily be elected as a member of the DPR. This is because the national vote acquisition of the Indonesian Solidarity Party from a number of quick count results from survey institutions is estimated to not exceed the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent of the national vote.

Referring to temporary data from the General Election Commission's Vote Recapitulation System (Sirekap), on Monday (26/2/2024) at 04.00, with vote entry data from 49.83 percent of voting stations (TPS) or 6,034 out of a total of 12,110 TPS in the DKI Jakarta electoral district III, Grace, legislative candidate number 1 from PSI, has won 41,534 votes. Grace beat the votes of incumbent legislative candidates, for example, Ahmad Sahroni, a legislative candidate from the Nasdem Party who won 30,833 votes or Darmadi Durianto, a legislative candidate from the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle who won 18,732 votes.

Previously, in the 2019 Legislative Elections, the former Chairman of the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) also ran as a candidate for the House of Representatives and garnered the most votes in the electoral district of DKI Jakarta III, which comprises North Jakarta, West Jakarta, and the Thousand Islands. At the time, Grace topped the list of candidates with 179,749 votes. However, Grace was not elected as a member of the House of Representatives because PSI's total number of votes did not surpass the 4% parliamentary threshold.

Also read: From Perindo to PSI, Non-Parliamentary Parties Difficult to Penetrate into Senayan

Meanwhile, based on the results of the Kompas R&D quick count, PSI's vote share in the 2024 Legislative Election is only 2.83 percent. Meanwhile, temporary data from the KPU's Sirekap on Monday (26/2/2024) at 09.00, with data entering votes of 64.48 percent or 530,821 out of a total of 823,236 polling stations, PSI's vote acquisition was only 2.68 percent.

The DPR candidate from PSI who ran for the DKI Jakarta II electoral district, namely Ade Armando, also obtained quite a lot of votes. It is known that from preliminary Sirekap data, Ade Armando received 26,084 votes in the constituency covering Central Jakarta, South Jakarta, and overseas.

However, it should be noted that achieving a high number of votes does not determine whether a legislative candidate passes. Law Number 7 of 2017 concerning General Elections regulates the parliamentary threshold at 4 percent. Only political parties that win a minimum of 4 percent of valid national votes in the 2024 Election will be included in the calculation of seats in the DPR.

Responding to this, Grace, when contacted on Monday (26/2/2024), stated that the vote count is being closely monitored by her team as it is currently still in the process of vote recapitulation at the district level. She believes that she has been elected as a member of parliament and that the PSI has surpassed the 4 percent national parliamentary threshold. "There are still tens of millions of votes that have not been counted. Let's just wait," said Grace.

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Chairman of the PSI Central Leadership Council (DPP) Dedek Prayudi also remains optimistic that his party has the opportunity to qualify for Senayan, where DPR members have offices, and Grace will occupy RI's DPR seat. He said that the quick count results of several survey institutions showed that PSI's vote was currently around 2.9 to 3 percent with a margin of error of 1 to 1.5 percent. "That means PSI still has a chance to enter parliament," said Dedek.

There are still tens of millions of votes that have not been counted. Let's just wait and see.

KOMPAS/RONY ARIYANTO NUGROHO

The Chairman of the Advisory Council for the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI), Grace Natalie, presented the appointment letter for Kaesang Pangarep as the party's Chairman during the National Coffee Meeting (Kopdarnas): PSI's Political Declaration at the Ballroom Djakarta Theater in Jakarta on Monday (25/9/2023).

According to him, there were no wasted votes from the DPR candidates from PSI who had the potential to get the highest votes in their respective electoral districts. These votes continue to be monitored at every level of counting at every level, starting from TPS, sub-district, district/city, to the KPU later. "We are still optimistic. Our internal Quick count has reached 4 percent, 4.2 percent to be precise," he said.

Please note: This article contains the forbidden word "PPP" which should be kept as is. It should be noted that besides obtaining a national political party's vote, there are several other stages that must be passed to convert votes into parliamentary seats. After the political party has been confirmed to pass the parliamentary threshold, the Sainte-Laguë method is used. This is stated in Article 415 (2) of Law Number 7 of 2017 concerning Elections. The calculation of the number of seats in the DPR begins with summing up the valid votes obtained by each political party that has passed the 4 percent parliamentary threshold.

Also read: Sainte Lague and Degrees of Vote Proportion

Then, the valid votes obtained by the political parties are divided by odd numbers in sequential order starting with the number 1, 3, 5, 7, and so on. The calculation is done in each electoral district, not cumulatively across the nation.

Finally, after all the seats have been divided among political parties, the determination of the eligible candidates to obtain a seat in the House of Representatives is conducted. The seats are then given in order to candidates who have earned the most votes in their respective constituencies. This is due to Indonesia implementing a proportional open list system.